Life is all about taking risks when you get right down to it: your first steps as a toddler, your first day of school and so on to starting a family, launching a business or contemplating cancer treatment. Calculating risk versus reward is a mostly automatic process that takes place in the brain and the gut.
We all have individual perceptions of risk that may or may not make sense. I’m okay with riding in an airplane that’s catapulted from an aircraft carrier but you’re not getting me on a motorcycle.
It’s not just risking life and limb. When I left the active-duty Navy for a corporate job, my military-brat wife was momentarily apprehensive because this was the first time in her life that the person who bought her groceries could be fired. (She got over it and took the risk of starting her own counseling practice years later.)
Aversion to risk can stunt lives. I stutter, and that was a problem until I learned to take risks with my speech instead of avoiding speaking for fear of being embarrassed. This is a big issue for people who stutter: I’ve encountered many stutterers who have allowed their fear of speaking to dictate their careers and social life.
During the past year, our society’s response to the Covid pandemic seriously messed with our perceptions of risk. The virus was new, unknown and scary. It did not help that the news media served up a steady diet of pandemic porn, scientific discussion was censored and politicians of all stripes behaved badly.
The result was a tangle of contradictions, such as the odd pronouncements from public health officials that Black Lives Matter demonstrations were okay but outdoor church services were superspreaders. And fully-vaccinated politicians pleaded with everyone to get the shot but signaled their own distrust of the vaccine by continuing to wear masks themselves.
We rely on elected officials to balance risks and benefits, and watched varying perceptions of risk drive public policy. It turned out that some states that imposed draconian lockdowns suffered severe economic and public health consequences but still had higher Covid death rates. Yet states that reopened quickly amid dire predictions from the “experts” often fared better. It’s tempting to conclude that: a) Our leaders may not know what they’re doing; and b) Lots of people are trying to scare us.
So we’ve been pretty much on our own in deciding how frightened to be, calculating our own risk and figuring out how to behave.
Because the virus is most deadly to my age group I wore gloves and wiped down food packages in the initial weeks of the pandemic, wore a mask and mostly stayed home (easy enough for a retiree). Getting vaccinated reduced my risk of serious illness from Covid by at least 94%, according to the Centers for Disease Control. Since I’m in excellent health, those odds were good enough for me to gradually resume normal socializing (mostly with other vaccinated seniors) as infection and hospitalization rates declined.
Other folks will have different perceptions of risk, of course. I wonder how many people wore masks while jaywalking across busy streets.
As the pandemic winds down it’s been interesting to watch people figure things out. Late last month I attended a chamber concert at which masks were optional but the audience — geriatric and presumably vaccinated — virtually all wore masks. Last week I went to the same concert and found the same crowd unmasked. Did they feel safer than they did a few weeks earlier? Or less concerned about being mistaken for Republicans?
Some people can tolerate less risk than others and I can’t blame anyone for erring on the side of caution. One surprise the pandemic revealed is that educators, as a group, appear to be more risk-averse than the rest of us. Despite overwhelming evidence that children rarely catch or transmit the virus and healthy teachers are at less risk than retail workers, educators were genuinely afraid to return to the classroom even after they jumped the line for the vaccine. Which raises a question: Are these the people we want teaching children to evaluate information and make rational decisions?
It’s hard to tell what long-term impact the pandemic will have. A recent poll found that 50% of those surveyed believe Covid has permanently changed the way we live in the U.S. Because government officials are quick to impose restrictions and slow to remove them, it’s a good bet that some Covid rules may remain in place for at least as long as we’ve been taking our shoes off at the airport.
Trust in institutions was declining even before our elected leaders, public health experts and news media fumbled the response to Covid. How will Americans react to the long-term extension of this pandemic or the beginning of the next one? Will everyone continue to obey the authorities, or will more people thumb their noses at them?
I suspect the country is as divided on risk tolerance as we are on practically everything else. So some of us will demand that our leaders create an environment of zero risk regardless of the economic and human cost. Others will challenge them to weigh risks and benefits to make reasonable tradeoffs for the greater good.
I’m going to keep a mask handy just to be on the safe side. And in case they change the rules again.
Lou Grant is dead
The death of Ed Asner last week at age 91 prompted TV stations to resurrect clips of the actor’s most memorable role: Lou Grant, the crusty news editor on the Mary Tyler Moore Show from 1970 to 1977 and the Lou Grant show from 1977 to 1982.
The archetype of the tough but nurturing editor resonated with the American public because it was true. Everybody who worked in journalism in the middle of the Twentieth Century probably had an editor a little like Lou Grant.
For me it was a Chicago newspaper editor who taught journalism classes part-time at Northwestern University. His classes were a boot camp in which any deviation from accuracy and clarity was met with stinging criticism. A few of the women in the class were reduced to tears, which probably would get him fired today.
The Chicago City News Bureau, a legendary training ground for reporters, had a sign in its newsroom that read: “IF YOUR MOTHER SAYS SHE LOVES YOU, CHECK IT OUT.”
During my public relations career it was challenging (and fun) to match wits with reporters who drilled relentlessly for verifiable facts. And when I supervised my company’s employee publications I let my writers and editors know that Lou Grant was my favorite TV show.
Demanding editors guided journalism’s climb from the disrepute of Yellow Journalism to respectability by mid-century. They tempered the crusading passion of young reporters by insisting on scrupulous fact-checking and unimpeachable sources, as Ben Bradlee did with Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein in the Washington Post’s Watergate coverage. By the 1970s around 70% of Americans trusted the media to report the news fully, accurately and fairly.
Times have changed. Today’s editors are at the mercy of their reporters and their job security is at an all-time low. Editors are losing their jobs over a politically incorrect remark, an unsubstantiated allegation, or for publishing an op-ed by a member of the opposition party. Any editor who acted like Lou Grant (or my journalism professor) would be canceled immediately.
Objective reporting has been replaced by political advocacy that’s more like the Nineteenth Century than the Twentieth. There are many reasons for this, but the result is that the news media now play the same rabble-rousing role in today’s public discourse that they did in the Spanish-American War. Editorial guardrails and enforcement of standards have no place in this environment.
It’s no surprise that the percentage of Americans who trust the news media has fallen from 70% to 40% with a sharp division along party lines. Because business now has more credibility than the news media, public relations professionals are shifting from traditional press-agentry to podcasts, social media and other alternatives to get their message out.
Solid journalism still exists but readers have to look beyond newspapers and TV networks to find it. Seasoned journalists like Glenn Greenwald are publishing on their own via digital platforms such as Substack. Nonprofit newsrooms and digital media have taken over much of the investigative reporting the traditional news media used to do. I’ll bet some of them have editors.